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This Assignment will include the following:
1. Comparing Revenues, EBIT/EBITDA, and EPS in Q4 and FY2022 to the comparable prior periods, and the most recent earnings estimates from Bloomberg or another source. Please discuss any changes from its previous guidance or analysts’ estimates and reasons for the changes. Break down the movements in the above financial metrics by business unit or product line using the firm’s reportable segments. Also discuss any major non-recurring events such as acquisitions, divestitures, spin-offs. In preparing this assignment, you should use Adjusted EBIT, EBITDA or EPS if the Company issues such data, but explain the reasons for the adjustments. Exclude any non-recurring items, such as impairments, with an explanation of the item and the reason for exclusion.
2. Include a chart showing the stock price movement since Oct 1, 2022. Also note the stock price movements in the 1, 3 & 5 days following the earnings release. Discuss reasons for the change (either up or down) after the earnings release. The change in your stock should be compared to the change in the S&P 500 or other relevant benchmarks. (please discuss your rationale for using another benchmark). Please characterize the earnings results as either a “surprise” “inline” or a “disappointment”. Please discuss whether the stock price movement is consistent with Market Efficiency.
3. Discuss the company’s guidance for Q1, and FY2022, and any changes from its prior guidance or analyst estimates, using ranges and midpoints. Please discuss any known catalysts for the upside or any known risks for downside performance compared to estimates. For example, MSFT’s cloud business has been growing rapidly and its guidance incorporates a growth rate for this business unit; nevertheless, you may believe that it will grow faster or slower. You should also whether the market is giving the company full credit or too much credit for its growth.
4. Discuss questions raised by analysts on the Company’s conference call. (Include an attachment summarizing all the questions asked on the call noting by which analyst). Why was the question asked? Was management’s answers persuasive? This attachment should be your summary of the questions and answers–DO NOT CUT AND PASTE. Ignore Questions that are not material or fragmentary.
5. Update your valuation after the release, if you made a valuation of this company. In light of the Q4 results, and guidance, would you increase or reduce your estimate of intrinsic value? This is meant to be a “back of the envelope” calculation not a full DCF, but if you prefer to modify your DCF analysis, please do so.
6. Do the results more or less excited about owning/following this stock?
The analysis is limited to a maximum of five (5) pages, single-spaced with default, MS Word margins. You may also attach an Excel workbook to support your analysis.
ps: I added an example of what it can look like. it does not have to be 5 pages long and does not have to to include the appendix a=nor the DCF
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